← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Feb 4, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Kortrijk win | 21% | 4.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −0.5 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Kortrijk −0.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Aboubakary Koita · St Truiden |
| 45' | 🟨 | Stjepan Lončar · Kortrijk |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Tom Vandenberghe · St Truiden |
| 52' | 🟨 | Faïz Selemani · Kortrijk |
| 76' | 🟨 | Billal Messaoudi · Kortrijk |
| 84' | 🟨 | João Silva · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 583.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1574.45 | 1429.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.61 | 10.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 35.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.69 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 25.49 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.10 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |