← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Fri, Feb 3, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Oostende win | 26% | 3.79 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Anderlecht +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Anton Tanghe · Oostende |
| 31' | ⚽ | Amir Murillo · Anderlecht |
| 56' | 🟨 | Matej Rodin · Oostende |
| 85' | 🟨 | Nick Bätzner · Oostende |
| 89' | ⚽ | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lior Refaelov · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| coach days | 94.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1404.99 | 1613.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.00 | -2.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.49 | 0.73 |
| league points | 18.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 5.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.19 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.47 | 24.82 |
| state index | -0.99 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.12 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |