← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Jan 29, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 78% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.55 |
| Seraing United win | 7% | 15.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −1.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Seraing United −1.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.55 |
| Under | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ (pen) | Paul Onuachu · Genk |
| 14' | ⚽ | Mike Trésor · Genk |
| 60' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Genk |
| 61' | 🟨 | Mathieu Cachbach · Seraing United |
| 62' | 🟨 | Marvin Tshibuabua · Seraing United |
| 64' | ⚽ | Joseph Paintsil · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.80 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 273.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1769.86 | 1384.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.34 | -7.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.70 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.70 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 61.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 12.01 | 7.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.54 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | -1.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.57 | 24.77 |
| state index | 1.12 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |