← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Jan 29, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 38% | 2.70 |
| Antwerp win | 35% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Antwerp +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Calvin Stengs · Antwerp |
| 51' | 🟨 | Arbnor Muja · Antwerp |
| 62' | 🟥 | Calvin Stengs · Antwerp |
| 63' | 🟨 | Benito Raman · Anderlecht |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ritchie De Laet · Antwerp |
| 73' | 🟨 | Zeno Debast · Anderlecht |
| 76' | 🟨 | Benito Raman · Anderlecht |
| 76' | 🟥 | Benito Raman · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Majeed Ashimeru · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.64 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.57 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 59.00 | 273.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1612.50 | 1699.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.89 | 18.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 68.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| league points | 29.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 24.29 | 25.47 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |