← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Jan 28, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Charleroi win | 26% | 3.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| St. Gilloise +0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Mehdi Boukamir · Charleroi |
| 23' | 🟨 | Ken Nkuba · Charleroi |
| 24' | ⚽ | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 31' | 🟨 | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
| 65' | 🟨 | Marco Ilaimaharitra · Charleroi |
| 65' | 🟨 | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 81' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 88.00 | 241.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| elo | 1528.60 | 1794.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.48 | 23.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 1.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.81 |
| league points | 28.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 2.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.40 |
| squad age | 25.26 | 26.34 |
| state index | 0.21 | 1.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |