← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Jan 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| Mechelen win | 25% | 3.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Westerlo −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Kyan Vaesen · Westerlo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Birger Verstraete · Mechelen |
| 53' | 🟨 | Nicolas Madsen · Westerlo |
| 56' | ⚽ | Kyan Vaesen · Westerlo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Dimitri Lavalėe · Mechelen |
| 77' | 🟨 | Dimitri Lavalėe · Mechelen |
| 77' | 🟥 | Dimitri Lavalėe · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 4 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 576.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1513.60 | 1526.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.48 | -16.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 34.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.25 | 26.95 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |