← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Jan 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 58% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Seraing United win | 17% | 5.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht +0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Seraing United +0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | 🟨 | Kristian Arnstad · Anderlecht |
| 63' | 🟨 | Sami Lahssaini · Seraing United |
| 76' | ⚽ | Mario Stroeykens · Anderlecht |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marvin Tshibuabua · Seraing United |
| 89' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sylla · Seraing United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| coach days | 113.00 | 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 3.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1390.64 | 1606.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.63 | -12.47 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.70 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| league points | 15.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.65 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -11.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.51 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 24.40 |
| state index | -1.06 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |