← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Jan 21, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Denil
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.15 |
| Kortrijk win | 21% | 4.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Mechelen −0.75 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.61 |
| Under | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | João Silva · Kortrijk |
| 33' | ⚽ | Dion De Neve · Kortrijk |
| 37' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Martin Wasinski · Kortrijk |
| 45' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 57' | ⚽ | Abdelkahar Kadri · Kortrijk |
| 68' | 🟨 | Stjepan Lončar · Kortrijk |
| 73' | ⚽ | Julien Ngoy · Mechelen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Pape Habib Gueye · Kortrijk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jannes Van Hecke · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Boli Bolingoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 112.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 1.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1520.53 | 1438.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.36 | 51.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| league points | 26.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.90 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 25.84 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.98 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |