← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Wed, Jan 18, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Seraing United win | 21% | 5.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Kortrijk −0.75 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Felipe Avenatti · Kortrijk |
| 17' | 🟨 | Felipe Avenatti · Kortrijk |
| 18' | ⚽ (pen) | Vagner Dias · Seraing United |
| 23' | ⚽ | Billal Messaoudi · Kortrijk |
| 48' | 🟨 | Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni · Seraing United |
| 54' | 🟥 | Moustapha Mbow · Seraing United |
| 60' | ⚽ | Vagner Dias · Seraing United |
| 63' | ⚽ | Faïz Selemani · Kortrijk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sambou Sissoko · Seraing United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 78.00 | 109.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -7.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 10.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| elo | 1431.28 | 1398.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.46 | -14.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -1.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 21.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 39.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 0.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -11.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 6.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 24.81 | 25.84 |
| state index | -0.26 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |