← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Wed, Jan 18, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 58% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.40 |
| Waregem win | 19% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Waregem −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 27' | 🟨 | Nicolas Rommens · Waregem |
| 35' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Anderlecht |
| 36' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Anderlecht |
| 58' | 🟨 | Alessandro Ciranni · Waregem |
| 62' | ⚽ | Alioune Ndour · Waregem |
| 75' | ⚽ | Alieu Fadera · Waregem |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francis Amuzu · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 48.00 | 262.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1623.24 | 1412.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.63 | 15.57 |
| eye test v1 | -1.24 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.57 | -0.74 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.50 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.55 |
| league points | 26.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.18 | 28.74 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |