← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Tue, Jan 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Boucaut
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 45% | 2.25 |
| Westerlo win | 29% | 3.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Genk +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Aziz Ouattara Mohammed · Genk |
| 24' | ⚽ | Joseph Paintsil · Genk |
| 49' | 🟨 | Edisson Jordanov · Westerlo |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Maxim De Cuyper · Westerlo |
| 55' | ⚽ | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
| 64' | ⚽ | Daniel Muñoz · Genk |
| 77' | 🟨 | Rubin Seigers · Westerlo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maxim De Cuyper · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 565.00 | 261.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1519.46 | 1764.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.35 | 18.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 70.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.84 |
| league points | 33.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 2.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.66 | 24.75 |
| state index | 0.02 | 1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |