← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Jan 14, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 70% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.80 |
| Waregem win | 12% | 10.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −1.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Waregem −1.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.42 |
| Under | 33% | 2.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Yira Collins Sor · Genk |
| 52' | 🟨 | Mbwana Samatta · Genk |
| 53' | 🟨 | Christian Brüls · Waregem |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ángelo Preciado · Genk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Novatus Miroshi · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 258.00 | 258.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1763.01 | 1413.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.17 | 4.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.92 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.50 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.58 |
| league points | 55.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 6.30 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 24.73 | 28.81 |
| state index | 1.29 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |