← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Jan 14, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 |
| Oostende win | 21% | 4.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Oostende −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Matej Rodin · Oostende |
| 40' | ⚽ | Alessio Da Cruz · Mechelen |
| 45' | 🟨 | David Bates · Mechelen |
| 63' | ⚽ | Nick Bätzner · Oostende |
| 70' | ⚽ | David Bates · Mechelen |
| 76' | 🟥 | Adedapo Awokoya-Mebude · Oostende |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 105.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.30 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1526.68 | 1421.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.83 | -24.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.64 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| league points | 23.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.04 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.13 | 24.72 |
| state index | 0.07 | -1.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.04 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |