← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Jan 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 |
| Seraing United win | 21% | 4.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Standard +0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ (og) | William Balikwisha · Seraing United |
| 30' | 🟨 | Steven Alzate · Standard |
| 34' | 🟨 | Morgan Poaty · Seraing United |
| 41' | ⚽ | Aron Dønnum · Standard |
| 69' | 🟨 | Moustapha Mbow · Seraing United |
| 80' | 🟨 | Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni · Seraing United |
| 82' | 🟨 | Christophe Lepoint · Seraing United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Timothy Martin · Seraing United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| coach days | 105.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1395.31 | 1551.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.84 | -6.63 |
| eye test v1 | -1.49 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.72 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 14.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.83 | 26.03 |
| state index | -1.13 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |