← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Jan 8, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 38% | 2.61 |
| Anderlecht win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Anderlecht +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟥 | Moussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht |
| 12' | 🟨 | Bart Nieuwkoop · St. Gilloise |
| 20' | 🟨 | Majeed Ashimeru · Anderlecht |
| 38' | 🟨 | Amadou Diawara · Anderlecht |
| 42' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jan Vertonghen · Anderlecht |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ismael Kandouss · St. Gilloise |
| 64' | ⚽ | Fábio Silva · Anderlecht |
| 80' | 🟨 | Killian Sardella · Anderlecht |
| 81' | 🟨 | Francis Amuzu · Anderlecht |
| 81' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 21 |
| 2 | On target | 10 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| 87' | ⚽ (og) | — · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ | Simon Adingra · St. Gilloise |
| coach days | 38.00 | 221.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1627.39 | 1771.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.10 | -5.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| league points | 24.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 12.91 | 13.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 2.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.41 | 25.81 |
| state index | 0.41 | 1.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |