← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Jan 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 41% | 2.30 |
| Waregem win | 33% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Mechelen +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.54 |
| Under | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Alec Van Hoorenbeeck · Mechelen |
| 5' | ⚽ | Nicolas Rommens · Waregem |
| 23' | 🟨 | Timothy Derijck · Waregem |
| 59' | 🟨 | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 69' | 🟨 | Dimitri Lavalėe · Mechelen |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 77' | 🟨 | Birger Verstraete · Mechelen |
| 84' | 🟨 | David Bates · Mechelen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Ciranni · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.87 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 252.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1394.92 | 1545.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.25 | 21.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| league points | 14.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 11.83 | 15.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 26.08 | 27.31 |
| state index | -1.01 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |