← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Jan 7, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende win | 52% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Seraing United win | 22% | 4.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Oostende −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Nick Bätzner · Oostende |
| 5' | 🟨 | Moustapha Mbow · Seraing United |
| 20' | 🟨 | Sandro Trémoulet · Seraing United |
| 36' | 🟨 | Sami Lahssaini · Seraing United |
| 38' | 🟨 | Nick Bätzner · Oostende |
| 44' | ⚽ | Steve Mvoué · Seraing United |
| 56' | 🟨 | Thierry Ambrose · Oostende |
| 70' | 🟨 | Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni · Seraing United |
| 73' | 🟨 | Osaze Urhoghide · Oostende |
| 75' | ⚽ | Vagner Dias · Seraing United |
| 80' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| 81' | 🟨 | Osaze Urhoghide · Oostende |
| 81' | 🟥 | Osaze Urhoghide · Oostende |
| 83' | 🟥 | Robbie D'Haese · Oostende |
| 85' | 🟨 | Anton Tanghe · Oostende |
| 85' | 🟨 | Daniel Opare · Seraing United |
| 88' | 🟨 | Indy Boonen · Oostende |
| coach days | 67.00 | 98.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 10.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1435.00 | 1382.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.54 | -41.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -1.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.50 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 12.09 | 14.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 0.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 24.91 | 24.52 |
| state index | -0.77 | -1.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |