← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Mon, Dec 26, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 47% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 |
| Charleroi win | 26% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Anderlecht +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Kristian Arnstad · Anderlecht |
| 49' | 🟨 | Ken Nkuba · Charleroi |
| 52' | 🟨 | Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali · Charleroi |
| 85' | ⚽ (og) | Adem Zorgane · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 55.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 3.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1496.33 | 1619.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.42 | 7.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| league points | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 23.99 | 24.31 |
| state index | -0.79 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |