← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Mon, Dec 26, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 65% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.96 |
| Kortrijk win | 15% | 6.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk +1.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Genk +1.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under | 36% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Billal Messaoudi · Kortrijk |
| 55' | 🟨 | Paul Onuachu · Genk |
| 60' | 🟨 | Nayel Mehssatou · Kortrijk |
| 81' | 🟨 | Habib Keita · Kortrijk |
| 83' | ⚽ | Felipe Avenatti · Kortrijk |
| 85' | 🟨 | Stjepan Lončar · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 55.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.26 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1386.97 | 1758.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.68 | 48.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.84 |
| league points | 12.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 2.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 25.71 | 24.63 |
| state index | -1.12 | 1.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |