← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Fri, Dec 23, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Club Brugge win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Club Brugge +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Kévin Denkey · Club Brugge |
| 19' | 🟨 | David Bates · Mechelen |
| 32' | 🟨 | Olivier Deman · Club Brugge |
| 52' | 🟨 | Olivier Deman · Club Brugge |
| 52' | 🟥 | Olivier Deman · Club Brugge |
| 71' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 73' | 🟨 | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jesper Daland · Club Brugge |
| 83' | 🟨 | Charles Vanhoutte · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 83.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1543.57 | 1671.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.65 | -0.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.77 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 22.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 59.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | -2.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.53 | 23.27 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -1.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |