← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Nov 13, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Anderlecht win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Genk +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Patrik Hrošovský · Genk |
| 19' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Genk |
| 25' | 🟨 | Moussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht |
| 28' | 🟨 | Carlos Cuesta · Genk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Adrien Trebel · Anderlecht |
| 53' | ⚽ | Gerardo Arteaga · Genk |
| 74' | 🟥 | Gerardo Arteaga · Genk |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mark McKenzie · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 43.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1631.87 | 1745.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.45 | 43.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.83 |
| league points | 21.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 24.66 | 24.99 |
| state index | -0.01 | 1.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |