← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Nov 12, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 43% | 2.30 |
| AS Eupen win | 32% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Waregem −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.63 |
| Under | 40% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Konan N'Dri · AS Eupen |
| 18' | 🟨 | Lasse Vigen Christensen · Waregem |
| 20' | ⚽ | Regan Charles-Cook · AS Eupen |
| 24' | 🟨 | Mamadou Sangare · Waregem |
| 32' | 🟨 | Isaac Nuhu · AS Eupen |
| 39' | ⚽ | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 41' | ⚽ | Isaac Nuhu · AS Eupen |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 56' | ⚽ | Boris Lambert · AS Eupen |
| 83' | ⚽ | Stan Braem · Waregem |
| 84' | 🟨 | Nathan Bitumazala |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 19 | Shots | 16 |
| 9 | On target | 8 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.88 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| 84' | ⚽ | Nnamdi Chinonso Offor · Waregem |
| 88' | ⚽ | Alieu Fadera · Waregem |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sambou Soumano · AS Eupen |
| coach days | 195.00 | 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1401.40 | 1459.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.59 | 40.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| league points | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.18 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.70 | 24.34 |
| state index | -0.50 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.08 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |