← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Nov 6, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Kortrijk win | 28% | 3.47 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Kortrijk −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Fraser Hornby · Oostende |
| 12' | 🟨 | Habib Keita · Kortrijk |
| 19' | ⚽ | Massimo Bruno · Kortrijk |
| 33' | 🟨 | Habib Keita · Kortrijk |
| 33' | 🟥 | Habib Keita · Kortrijk |
| 42' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Radovanović · Kortrijk |
| 54' | ⚽ | Cameron McGeehan · Oostende |
| 72' | 🟨 | Anton Tanghe · Oostende |
| 83' | 🟨 | Fraser Hornby · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · Oostende |
| 90' | ⚽ | Cameron McGeehan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| coach days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1441.67 | 1405.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.13 | -26.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| league points | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 8.05 | 8.16 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.27 | 26.60 |
| state index | -0.95 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |