← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Nov 6, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Anderlecht win | 29% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Anderlecht −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Pieter Gerkens · Antwerp |
| 52' | 🟨 | Zeno Debast · Anderlecht |
| 69' | 🟨 | Willian Pacho · Antwerp |
| 74' | 🟨 | Francis Amuzu · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adrien Trebel · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 189.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1678.69 | 1628.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.79 | -20.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| league points | 36.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.53 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 25.31 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.01 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |