← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Nov 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 62% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.59 |
| Westerlo win | 16% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −1 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Westerlo −1 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Mathias Fixelles · Westerlo |
| 41' | 🟨 | Loïc Lapoussin · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | ⚽ | Lyle Foster · Westerlo |
| 63' | 🟨 | Siebe Van Der Heyden · St. Gilloise |
| 70' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
| 84' | 🟨 | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Senne Lynen · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tuur Dierckx · Westerlo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 158.00 | 493.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.30 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1769.35 | 1503.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.72 | 15.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.60 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 36.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 7.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.87 | 26.40 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |