← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Nov 5, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 49% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 |
| Seraing United win | 22% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden +0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Seraing United +0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.63 |
| Over | 40% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Sandro Trémoulet · Seraing United |
| 17' | 🟨 | Steve Mvoué · Seraing United |
| 44' | 🟨 | Steve Mvoué · Seraing United |
| 44' | 🟥 | Steve Mvoué · Seraing United |
| 45' | ⚽ | Vagner Dias · Seraing United |
| 54' | 🟨 | Wolke Janssens · St Truiden |
| 77' | ⚽ | Daichi Hayashi · St Truiden |
| 79' | ⚽ | Gianni Bruno · St Truiden |
| 83' | 🟨 | Vagner Dias · Seraing United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mathieu Cachbach · Seraing United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| coach days | 35.00 | 492.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1420.15 | 1568.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.74 | -12.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.45 | 0.72 |
| league points | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 35.00 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | -1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 23.81 | 28.85 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |