← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Oct 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Waregem win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Standard +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Alessandro Ciranni · Waregem |
| 15' | 🟨 | Philip Zinckernagel · Standard |
| 80' | ⚽ (pen) | Noe Dussenne · Standard |
| 87' | ⚽ | Stipe Perica · Standard |
| 90' | 🟥 | Ravy Tsouka · Waregem |
| 90' | ⚽ | Stipe Perica · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 181.00 | 150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 3.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1409.56 | 1558.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.33 | 22.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.89 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| league points | 12.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 5.79 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.06 | 24.88 |
| state index | -0.68 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |