← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Fri, Oct 28, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 70% | 1.38 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.64 |
| Mechelen win | 12% | 7.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Genk −1.5 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.40 |
| Under | 32% | 3.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Daniel Muñoz · Genk |
| 15' | ⚽ | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 25' | 🟨 | Boli Bolingoli · Mechelen |
| 57' | ⚽ | Gerardo Arteaga · Genk |
| 59' | 🟨 | Bilal El Khannouss · Genk |
| 64' | 🟨 | Bilal El Khannouss · Genk |
| 64' | 🟥 | Bilal El Khannouss · Genk |
| 74' | 🟨 | Dries Wouters · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joseph Paintsil · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 180.00 | 27.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1734.45 | 1530.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.56 | -16.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.94 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| league points | 40.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 5.30 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.54 | 26.55 |
| state index | 1.26 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |