← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Oct 23, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende win | 44% | 2.17 |
| Waregem win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Waregem −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Novatus Miroshi · Waregem |
| 45' | ⚽ | Indy Boonen · Oostende |
| 58' | 🟨 | Lasse Vigen Christensen · Waregem |
| 62' | 🟨 | Osaze Urhoghide · Oostende |
| 70' | ⚽ | Jelle Vossen · Waregem |
| 80' | ⚽ | David Atanga · Oostende |
| 83' | 🟨 | Fraser Hornby · Oostende |
| 89' | 🟨 | Moudou Tambedou · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| coach days | 264.00 | 175.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1441.93 | 1417.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.10 | -3.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| league points | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 23.91 | 25.50 |
| state index | -0.97 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |