β Jupiler Pro League 2022 Β· Sun, Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 70% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.06 |
| Seraing United win | 11% | 9.39 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United β1.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Gent β1.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | β½ (og) | Moustapha Mbow Β· Gent |
| 38' | β½ (pen) | Marius Mouandilmadji Β· Seraing United |
| 58' | π¨ | Sulayman Marreh Β· Gent |
| 68' | π¨ | Sami Lahssaini Β· Seraing United |
| 84' | β½ | Laurent Depoitre Β· Gent |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Ghelamco Arena |
| coach days | 691.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1642.29 | 1426.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.40 | 17.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.43 |
| league points | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -1.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.79 | 23.48 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |