← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Oct 22, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 50% | 1.90 |
| AS Eupen win | 25% | 3.96 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| AS Eupen −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Konan N'Dri · AS Eupen |
| 22' | ⚽ | Alessio Da Cruz · Mechelen |
| 40' | 🟨 | Boris Lambert · AS Eupen |
| 49' | 🟨 | David Bates · Mechelen |
| 63' | 🟨 | David Bates · Mechelen |
| 63' | 🟥 | David Bates · Mechelen |
| 75' | 🟨 | James Jeggo · AS Eupen |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Julien Ngoy · Mechelen |
| 78' | 🟨 | Konan N'Dri · AS Eupen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mubarak Wakaso · AS Eupen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 21.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1524.07 | 1454.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.67 | 32.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| league points | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 3.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 25.31 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |