← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Oct 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 39% | 2.46 |
| Kortrijk win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk +0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Westerlo +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.82 |
| Under | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟥 | Pape Habib Gueye · Kortrijk |
| 30' | 🟨 | Bryan Reynolds · Westerlo |
| 48' | ⚽ | Nicolas Madsen · Westerlo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lucas Mineiro · Westerlo |
| 83' | ⚽ | Nene Dorgeles · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 51.00 | 478.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1414.33 | 1500.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.90 | 50.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 11.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.13 | 25.11 |
| state index | -0.88 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |