← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Tue, Oct 18, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 55% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.07 |
| Kortrijk win | 21% | 4.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Kortrijk −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 38' | 🟨 | Ryota Morioka · Charleroi |
| 41' | 🟨 | João Silva · Kortrijk |
| 42' | ⚽ | Marco Ilaimaharitra · Charleroi |
| 52' | ⚽ | Pape Habib Gueye · Kortrijk |
| 67' | 🟨 | Marco Ilaimaharitra · Charleroi |
| 72' | 🟨 | Joris Kayembe · Charleroi |
| 87' | ⚽ | Felipe Avenatti · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 474.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1525.75 | 1409.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.45 | -26.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 3.01 | 3.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.80 | 25.57 |
| state index | -0.58 | -1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |