← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Oct 16, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Boucaut
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 55% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Oostende win | 21% | 4.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende +0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| St. Gilloise +0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Dante Vanzeir · St. Gilloise |
| 31' | ⚽ | Dante Vanzeir · St. Gilloise |
| 53' | 🟨 | Siebe Van Der Heyden · St. Gilloise |
| 63' | ⚽ | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
| 78' | ⚽ | Simon Adingra · St. Gilloise |
| 80' | 🟨 | Zech Medley · Oostende |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mohamed Berte · Oostende |
| 88' | 🟨 | José Rodríguez · St. Gilloise |
| 89' | ⚽ | Thierry Ambrose · Oostende |
| 90' | ⚽ | Victor Okoh Boniface · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| coach days | 257.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1454.80 | 1754.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.74 | 40.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 49.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| league points | 11.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 8.11 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.32 | 25.58 |
| state index | -0.26 | 1.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |