← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Oct 16, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Standard win | 29% | 3.43 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Standard +0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | William Balikwisha · Standard |
| 4' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Standard |
| 9' | ⚽ | Cihan Çanak · Standard |
| 12' | 🟨 | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 55' | 🟨 | Calvin Stengs · Antwerp |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ritchie De Laet · Antwerp |
| 63' | 🟨 | Nicolas Raskin · Standard |
| 81' | 🟨 | Osher Davida · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 137.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.16 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1526.07 | 1728.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 55.01 | 11.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| league points | 22.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 8.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 2.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.03 | 25.72 |
| state index | 0.64 | 1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |