← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Oct 15, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Charleroi win | 30% | 3.19 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| St Truiden −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Shinji Kagawa · St Truiden |
| 18' | 🟨 | Daichi Hayashi · St Truiden |
| 19' | 🟨 | Ken Nkuba · Charleroi |
| 48' | 🟨 | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 70' | ⚽ | Frank Boya · St Truiden |
| 90' | ⚽ | Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 471.00 | 471.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1574.26 | 1532.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.34 | -28.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| league points | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 5.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.56 | 24.61 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |