β Jupiler Pro League 2022 Β· Fri, Oct 14, 06:45 PM UTC Β· ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Seraing United win | 17% | 5.71 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United β1 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Westerlo β1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | β½ | Antoine Bernier Β· Seraing United |
| 28' | β½ (og) | Morgan Poaty Β· Westerlo |
| 33' | β½ | Nene Dorgeles Β· Westerlo |
| 48' | β½ | Marius Mouandilmadji Β· Seraing United |
| 79' | π¨ | Marius Mouandilmadji Β· Seraing United |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 2 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | β |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | β |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 470.00 | 13.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1511.47 | 1428.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 91.89 | 7.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| league points | 21.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 32.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -2.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 24.86 | 23.60 |
| state index | 0.88 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -1.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |