β Jupiler Pro League 2022 Β· Sun, Oct 9, 04:30 PM UTC Β· ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 42% | 2.27 |
| Standard win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard β0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Charleroi β0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | π¨ | Ryota Morioka Β· Charleroi |
| 45' | β½ (og) | Jackson Tchatchoua Β· Standard |
| 58' | π¨ | Marco Ilaimaharitra Β· Charleroi |
| 59' | π¨ | Gilles Dewaele Β· Standard |
| 66' | π¨ | Marlon Fossey Β· Standard |
| 67' | π₯ | Adem Zorgane Β· Charleroi |
| 81' | π¨ | Isaac Mbenza Β· Charleroi |
| 87' | π¨ | Philip Zinckernagel Β· Standard |
| 90' | π¨ | Philip Zinckernagel Β· Standard |
| 90' | π₯ | Philip Zinckernagel Β· Standard |
| 90' | π₯ |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 465.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1545.50 | 1513.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.29 | 50.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 8.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.68 | 26.04 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |