← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Oct 9, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 48% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
| Mechelen win | 26% | 3.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Anderlecht +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Amadou Diawara · Anderlecht |
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Jordi Vanlerberghe · Mechelen |
| 31' | 🟨 | Lior Refaelov · Anderlecht |
| 46' | ⚽ | Mario Stroeykens · Anderlecht |
| 67' | ⚽ | Mario Stroeykens · Anderlecht |
| 71' | ⚽ | Fábio Silva · Anderlecht |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mario Stroeykens · Anderlecht |
| 84' | 🟨 | Hendrik Van Crombrugge · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Frederic Soelle Soelle · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 3.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1530.92 | 1663.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.57 | -34.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.70 | 2.78 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 24.13 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |