← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Oct 8, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Denil
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Seraing United win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende +0 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Seraing United +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Thierry Ambrose · Oostende |
| 36' | 🟨 | Mathieu Cachbach · Seraing United |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Marius Mouandilmadji · Seraing United |
| 69' | 🟥 | Abdoulaye Sylla · Seraing United |
| 85' | 🟨 | Timothy Galje · Seraing United |
| 90' | ⚽ | Zech Medley · Oostende |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| coach days | 7.00 | 249.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1429.89 | 1453.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.06 | -5.79 |
| eye test v1 | -1.17 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| league points | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 31.60 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.99 | -1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 23.44 | 25.35 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.40 | -1.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |