← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Oct 1, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 56% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.57 |
| Oostende win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende +1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Genk +1 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.46 |
| Under | 34% | 2.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Thierry Ambrose · Oostende |
| 3' | ⚽ | Fraser Hornby · Oostende |
| 25' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Genk |
| 88' | ⚽ | Daniel Muñoz · Genk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kenny Rocha Santos · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟥 | David Atanga · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matías Galarza · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| coach days | 242.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1459.29 | 1686.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.59 | 36.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 10.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.64 | 24.65 |
| state index | -0.21 | 1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |