← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Oct 1, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Boucaut
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.62 |
| Waregem win | 17% | 5.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Waregem −1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Nacer Chadli · Westerlo |
| 33' | 🟨 | Alieu Fadera · Waregem |
| 40' | 🟨 | Novatus Miroshi · Waregem |
| 47' | ⚽ | Lyle Foster · Westerlo |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ravil Tagir · Westerlo |
| 58' | 🟨 | Timothy Derijck · Waregem |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mathias Fixelles · Westerlo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Lyle Foster · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 12 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 457.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| elo | 1449.67 | 1421.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.97 | -31.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| league points | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 13.90 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -11.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.58 | 25.99 |
| state index | -0.24 | -1.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |