← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Sep 11, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 70% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.55 |
| Waregem win | 12% | 8.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −1.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Gent −1.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Waregem |
| 49' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Gent |
| 72' | ⚽ | Jordan Torunarigha · Gent |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ravy Tsouka · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Ghelamco Arena |
| coach days | 649.00 | 133.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1668.56 | 1438.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.89 | -10.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| league points | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 26.30 |
| state index | -0.13 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |