← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Sep 4, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Denil
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 59% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.38 |
| Waregem win | 18% | 5.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem +1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| St. Gilloise +1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Alieu Fadera · Waregem |
| 21' | 🟨 | Simon Adingra · St. Gilloise |
| 28' | 🟨 | Bart Nieuwkoop · St. Gilloise |
| 31' | 🟨 | Novatus Miroshi · Waregem |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
| 70' | ⚽ (og) | Moudou Tambedou · St. Gilloise |
| 78' | 🟨 | Senne Lynen · St. Gilloise |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | Dennis Eckert · St. Gilloise |
| 89' | 🟨 | Dani Ramirez · Waregem |
| 90' | 🟥 | Guillaume François · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ | Stan Braem · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 126.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1446.56 | 1694.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.45 | -19.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 8.11 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.18 | 26.30 |
| state index | -0.83 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |