← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Sep 3, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.31 |
| Seraing United win | 19% | 5.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.75 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Seraing United −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Julien Ngoy · Mechelen |
| 22' | ⚽ (og) | Yannick Thoelen · Seraing United |
| 25' | 🟨 | Marius Mouandilmadji · Seraing United |
| 27' | ⚽ | Thibault Peyre · Mechelen |
| 44' | ⚽ | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 50' | 🟨 | Dries Wouters · Mechelen |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Marius Mouandilmadji · Seraing United |
| 75' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sylla · Seraing United |
| 81' | ⚽ | Marius Mouandilmadji · Seraing United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 94.00 | 245.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1549.77 | 1405.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.20 | -11.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.79 | 24.79 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |