← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Aug 27, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 |
| Mechelen win | 27% | 3.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Mechelen −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 51' | 🟨 | Samuel Oum Gouet · Mechelen |
| 52' | 🟨 | Ameen Al-Dakhil · St Truiden |
| 53' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Shinji Kagawa · St Truiden |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 76' | ⚽ | Gianni Bruno · St Truiden |
| 82' | 🟨 | Alec Van Hoorenbeeck · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gianni Bruno · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 2 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 422.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1584.11 | 1561.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.77 | 8.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.66 |
| league points | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.20 | 5.99 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.56 | 26.13 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |