← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Aug 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 66% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.86 |
| Seraing United win | 14% | 7.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United +1.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Genk +1.25 | 50% | 1.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sylla · Seraing United |
| 30' | ⚽ | Mike Trésor · Genk |
| 57' | ⚽ | Joseph Paintsil · Genk |
| 64' | 🟨 | Joseph Paintsil · Genk |
| 66' | ⚽ | Mike Trésor · Genk |
| 68' | ⚽ (og) | Christophe Lepoint · Genk |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mike Trésor · Genk |
| 88' | 🟨 | Simon Elisor · Seraing United |
| 89' | 🟨 | Gerardo Arteaga · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| coach days | 238.00 | 118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1415.51 | 1658.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.21 | 27.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 1.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| league points | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 8.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 8.20 |
| squad age | 25.44 | 23.85 |
| state index | -0.70 | 0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |