← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Aug 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Mechelen win | 31% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo +0 | 56% | 1.73 |
| Mechelen +0 | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Jan Bernát · Westerlo |
| 26' | ⚽ | Nene Dorgeles · Westerlo |
| 39' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 48' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Tuur Dierckx · Westerlo |
| 63' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 63' | ⚽ | Tuur Dierckx · Westerlo |
| 73' | ⚽ | Lyle Foster · Westerlo |
| 76' | ⚽ | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 77' | ⚽ | Milan Robberechts · Mechelen |
| 85' | ⚽ | Milan Robberechts · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 81.00 | 416.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | — |
| elo | 1555.91 | 1440.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.42 | 18.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 84.25 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 8.11 | 8.21 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.31 | 26.55 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |