← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Aug 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Oostende win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende +0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| St Truiden +0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Toni Leistner · St Truiden |
| 34' | 🟨 | Daiki Hashioka · St Truiden |
| 35' | 🟨 | Shinji Kagawa · St Truiden |
| 38' | 🟨 | Alfons Amade · Oostende |
| 41' | 🟨 | Osaze Urhoghide · Oostende |
| 89' | 🟨 | Robert Bauer · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gianni Bruno · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| coach days | 200.00 | 415.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1474.72 | 1575.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.92 | 1.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.79 |
| league points | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.60 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 23.90 | 27.71 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.36 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |