← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Aug 14, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Waregem win | 24% | 4.00 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Waregem +0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under | 37% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ (pen) | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 25' | ⚽ | András Németh · Genk |
| 27' | 🟨 | Borja López · Waregem |
| 43' | ⚽ | Jelle Vossen · Waregem |
| 44' | ⚽ | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 47' | 🟨 | Moudou Tambedou · Waregem |
| 52' | ⚽ | Daniel Muñoz · Genk |
| 63' | 🟨 | Patrik Hrošovský · Genk |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nicolas Rommens · Waregem |
| 73' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Waregem |
| 82' | 🟨 | Gerardo Arteaga · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 105.00 | 105.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1464.73 | 1638.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.61 | 2.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 1.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.61 |
| league points | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 9.01 | 8.21 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 10.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.40 |
| squad age | 26.24 | 24.18 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |